The latest immigration figures are grist to the mill for Euro-sceptics
28th February, 2014
By Sir Andrew Green
Chairman of Migration Watch UK
28 February, 2014
Yesterday’s immigration figures are clearly bad news for the Government. A doubling of net migration from the EU to 130,000 in the year to last September has blown them off course. A continued inflow from Poland seems to have been augmented by workers from Italy, Spain and Portugal. Unless there is an unexpected improvement in the EU economy, that inflow can be expected to continue at least for the next few years.
Migration Watch UK Press Comment on Immigration Under Labour
28th February, 2014
The ONS have today adjusted the net migration statistics between 2001 and 2011 to reflect the results of the 2011 Census. Commenting, Sir Andrew Green, Chairman of Migration Watch UK, said:
"Having discovered that the Census found nearly half a million more East Europeans in Britain than the immigration figures had suggested, the ONS have at last adjusted the official statistics in today’s release. As a result, we can now see that net immigration under Labour peaked at 320,000 in 2004/5 and that total net foreign migration came to nearly 4 million during their period in office"
See Table 1 of today's ONS Migration Statistics Quarterly Report which can be found here: http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/dcp171778_352080.pdf
Migration Watch UK Press Comment on Net Migration Statistics
28th February, 2014
Commenting on today's immigration statistics Sir Andrew Green, Chairman of Migration Watch UK, said:
"Government policy is succeeding in bringing down non-EU migration but they have been blown off course by a sharp increase of 66,000 migrants from the EU. EU migrants now comprise nearly half of foreign net migration.
These figures also show that net migration from Romania and Bulgaria was about 20,000 in the year to last September even before the restrictions were lifted. We believe that this confirms our estimate of 50,000 a year over the next five years."
The ONS Immigration Statistics can be found here: http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/.../february-2014/index.html
Migration Watch UK Press Comment on the National Statistics of Romanians and Bulgarians in UK
19th February, 2014
The Office for National Statistics has today released its quarterly Labour Market Statistics which show that the number of Romanians and Bulgarians working in the UK in the period October-December 2013 was estimated to be 144,000. This is compared to 102,000 for the same period in 2012, an increase of 41 percent.
Commenting on these figures, Sir Andrew Green, Chairman of Migration Watch UK said:
"These latest figures show a steady increase in the number, just of workers, from Romania and Bulgaria in the UK even before restrictions were lifted in January - an increase of 30-40,000. This looks consistent with our central estimate of 50,000 net migrants a year for the next five years from these countries."
Supreme Court Cases on Asylum - February 2014
3rd March, 2014
The Supreme Court has recently reached important decisions on two cases involving interpretation of the law relating to asylum. The first of these is I.A, v. Secretary of State for the Home Department (Scotland)  UKSC 6. The appellant was a citizen of Iran who left Iran for Iraq in 1998 at the age of 16 and successfully applied to the office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) for asylum in Iraqi Kurdistan under the Refugee Convention, on the ground that he feared persecution in Iran as a member of a Kurdish political party. He left Iraq for Turkey in 2002 and was again recognised there as a refugee. In 2007 he arrived in the United Kingdom and applied for asylum here. His application was refused by the Secretary of State and his appeal against refusal was dismissed by an immigration judge. The main ground for refusal by the Secretary of State was lack of credibility of evidence given in support of his application. This was upheld by the immigration judge, who also considered the importance of the grant of refugee status by the UNHCR. This was accepted as a significant matter, but no evidence had been made available by the UNHCR to show the justification for the grant and the findings by both the Secretary of State and the immigration judge provided clear and substantial grounds for reaching a different conclusion.
Net migration quintupled from 50,000 in 1997 to 250,000 in 2010. Nearly 4 million immigrants have arrived since 1997. Net migration fell to 176,000 in the year to December 2012 as government policies took effect.
A migrant arrives almost every minute but they leave at only just over half that rate.
We must build a new home every seven minutes for new migrants.
England is already, with the Netherlands, the most crowded country in Europe, excluding island and city states.
The population of the UK will grow by over 7 million to 70 million in the next 15 years, 5 million due to immigration - that is the equivalent of the current populations of Birmingham, Leeds, Glasgow, Sheffield, Bradford, Manchester, Liverpool, Bristol and Oxford.
To keep the population of the UK, now 62.3 million, below 70 million, net immigration must be reduced to around 40,000 a year. It would then peak in mid-century at about 68 million.
Revised September 2013
“One spectacular mistake in which I participated (not alone) was in lifting the transitional restrictions on the Eastern European states like Poland and Hungary which joined the EU in mid-2004. Other existing EU members, notably France and Germany, decided to stick to the general rule which prevented migrants from these new states from working until 2011. Thorough research by the Home Office suggested that the impact of this benevolence would in any event be 'relatively small, at between 5,000 and 13,000 immigrants per year up to 2010'. Events proved these forecasts worthless. Net migration reached close to a quarter of a million at its peak in 2010. Lots of red faces, mine included.”
Jack Straw, the Labour MP for Blackburn and former Home Secretary, speaking to his local newspaper about the 2004 Accession of the A8 to Europe and Labour’s decision not to impose transitional controls on workers from these countries. The Home Office forecast that just 13,000 would move to Britain. The current population of A8 nationals in the UK is over one million. (November 2013)
Helen Boaden, Director, Radio and until recently Director, BBC News, accepts that when she came into her role in September 2004 there had been a problem in the BBC’s coverage of immigration. She was aware, she told us, of a “deep liberal bias” in the way that the BBC approached the topic, and specifically that press releases coming from Migration Watch were not always taken as seriously as they might have been.
Helen Boaden’s Evidence to BBC’s Prebble Review (July 2013)
People didn't believe the authorities knew what they were doing and there's a very good reason for that - they didn't.
Phil Woolas, Immigration Minister, reported in The Sun (21 October, 2008)
I have made this point many times before but can we please stop saying that Migration Watch forecasts are wrong. I have pointed out before that Migration Watch assumptions are often below the Government Actuarys Department high migration variant.
An internal Home Office email they were obliged to release to MigrationWatch (29 July, 2003)